Monday, May 12, 2014

NDA IN CLEAR LEAD

AAJ TAK EXIT POLL


  • NDA to get 272 to 283 seats, UPA to get 110 to 120 seats all over the country: Aaj Tak

  • As per Aaj Tak survey, BJP to get six seats in Delhi.

  • BJP to get 46 seats in Uttar Pradesh, Congress 08, Samajwadi Party 12 and BSP 13 seats as per ABP News/AC Nielson survey. 


  • In 2009 Lok Sabha polls, Congress-led UPA had got 262 seats, whereas BJP-led NDA bagged 159 seats. LK Advani was BJP's PM candidate. He lost to Manmohan Singh who took oath as PM second time in a row.

  • An exit poll is taken right after the voters have exited the polling booth. It is different from an opinion poll. In an opinion poll the voter is asked as to whom he plans to vote for.

  • In an exit poll, the voter is asked as to who they voted for. The exit polls gives an early indication of what the voting pattern has been. 
  • Zee news exit polls:

    *Maharashtra: BJP to gain 21 seats while it's allies Shiv Sena and MNS to gain 11 and 0 seats respectively
    *Congress to win 9 seats wile AAP and NCP tie at 1 seat each
    *BJP to gain 19 seats in Bihar, while RJD to get 10
    *JDU will get 5 while Congress to acquire a meagre 4 seats
    *Zee News reporting Aaj Tak polls: Congress to win 114 seats across the nation, while the Third front to gain 156 seats.
    BJP won't win more than 46 seats in UP. Congress set to win 8 while BSP and SP to gain 13 and 12 seats respectively.
    7 seats in Delhi up for grabs out of which BJP gains 6. Congress fails to make a mark with zero seats.

    Times Now Exit poll: 

    Telangana (17) Cong 4, BJP 2, TRS 9, Left 2
    In Seemandhra, BJP and TDP will combine and emerge victorious with 17 seats
    *In Seemandhra, BJP is stated to win 17 seats while Congress will lose with 0 seats. YSRCP is set to win 8 seats.
    *If TMC and Left vote share is equal, then BJP has cut into TMC votes say panelists
    *TMC 38% of the vote in Bengal, Left parties will get 37%
    *BJP member Jayant Sinha disagrees, says BJP will win 12-14 seats in Jharkhand
    *Pawan Verma, adviser to Bihar CM Nitish Kumar disagrees with 28 seats for BJP, says it will get much less
    *Panelists trash Bihar figures, say Lalu (RJD) cannot get 0 seats. RJD is projected to get 20% vote share in Bihar but no seats
    *West Bengal has 42 seats. While Congress will win 5 seats, BJP will win 2 seats. TMC will win 20 and form the majority while Left parties will win a measly 5 seats.
    *BJD's Naveen Patnaik will play a big role in the Lok Sabha elections and in forming the next government. *39% vote share for BJD and BJP 23% in Odisha
    *Odisha - Congress will win 5,seats,  BJP will win 1 seat and BJD 15 will form the majority in the state.
    Congress gets 27% vote share in Odisha. 
    *Assam has 14 seats in Lok Sabha elections: Congress will win 5 seats while BJP will win 8 seats according to Times Now survey
    *Manipur has 2 seats in Lok Sabha elections: BJP has 0 seats while Congress will win 2 seats according to their survey.
    *The last and eighth phase of polling took place on Monday in which voting for 41 seats took place.
    *Assam CM Tarun Gogoi disagrees with the poll and says Congress will get 7-8 seats in the Lok Sabha elections. 
    Nagaland has two seats and according to the survey,  local parties such as NTF will win 1 seat (BJP ally) while Congress will win 1 seat. 
    According to the survey, BJP will gain big in North East, especially Assam.
    *Mizoram- Congress 1, BJP-0
    *Sikkim- Others 1, BJP 0, Congress 0
    *Arunachal: BJP 1, Congress 1


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